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Elections in Louisiana |
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Government |
The 2024 United States presidential election in Louisiana is scheduled to take place on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States elections in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia will participate. Louisiana voters will choose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of Louisiana has eight electoral votes in the Electoral College, following reapportionment due to the 2020 United States census in which the state neither gained nor lost a seat.[1]
As a Deep Southern state located largely within the Bible Belt, Louisiana has a conservative voting pattern, with the only Democrats to carry the state's electoral votes after FDR being Adlai Stevenson II in his first bid, John F. Kennedy, fellow Southerner Jimmy Carter in his first bid, and Bill Clinton of neighboring Arkansas.
Republicans have won the state in every presidential election since George W. Bush of neighboring Texas did in 2000, doing so by double-digit margins since Bush's 2004 re-election; and since 2008, presidential Democrats have consistently and exclusively carried these parishes: Orleans, home to Louisiana's largest city New Orleans; East Baton Rouge, home to the state capital; Caddo, home to Shreveport; and the rural, predominantly-Black parishes of East Carroll, Madison, Tensas, St. Helena, Iberville, St. James, and St. John the Baptist. Louisiana is expected to again go comfortably towards the Republican candidate in 2024.[2]
Incumbent Democratic president Joe Biden is running for reelection to a second term.[3]
Main article: 2024 Louisiana Republican presidential primary |
The Louisiana Republican primary was scheduled to be held on March 23, 2024.
Candidate | Votes | Percentage | Actual delegate count | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Bound | Unbound | Total | |||
Donald Trump | 172,503 | 89.77% | 47 | 47 | |
Nikki Haley (withdrawn) | 13,123 | 6.83% | |||
Ron DeSantis (withdrawn) | 3,022 | 1.57% | |||
Chris Christie (withdrawn) | 1,281 | 0.67% | |||
Vivek Ramaswamy (withdrawn) | 595 | 0.31% | |||
Ryan Binkley (withdrawn) | 580 | 0.30% | |||
Asa Hutchinson (withdrawn) | 519 | 0.27% | |||
Rachel Swift | 335 | 0.17% | |||
David Stuckenberg | 210 | 0.11% | |||
Total: | 192,168 | 100.00% | 47 | 47 | |
Source: [4][5] |
Main article: 2024 Louisiana Democratic presidential primary |
The Louisiana Democratic primary will be held on March 23, 2024. Alongside primary with Missouri.
Candidate | Votes | Percentage | Actual delegate count | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Pledged | Unpledged | Total | |||
Joe Biden (incumbent) | 143,380 | 86.1% | 48 | ||
Marianne Williamson | 7,898 | 4.7% | |||
Dean Phillips (withdrawn) | 4,351 | 2.6% | |||
Stephen Lyons (withdrawn) | 3,770 | 2.3% | |||
Bob Ely | 2,652 | 1.6% | |||
Frankie Lozada (withdrawn) | 2,245 | 1.4% | |||
Armando Perez-Serrato | 1,200 | 0.7% | |||
Cenk Uygur (withdrawn) | 1,114 | 0.7% | |||
Total: | 166,610 | 100.0% | 48 | 6 | 52 |
Source: [6] |
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
Cook Political Report[7] | Solid R | December 19, 2023 |
Inside Elections[8] | Solid R | April 26, 2023 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[9] | Safe R | June 29, 2023 |
Decision Desk HQ/The Hill[10] | Safe R | December 14, 2023 |
CNalysis[11] | Solid R | December 30, 2023 |
CNN[12] | Solid R | January 14, 2024 |
The Economist[13] | Safe R | June 12, 2024 |
538[14] | Likely R | June 11, 2024 |
RCP[15] | Solid R | June 26, 2024 |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump Republican |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Faucheux Strategies[A] | April 22–26, 2024 | 800 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 52% | 38% | 10% |
Echelon Insights | August 31 – September 7, 2022 | 506 (LV) | ± 6.5% | 51% | 36% | 13% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump Republican |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Robert Kennedy Jr Independent |
Cornel West Independent |
Jill Stein Green |
Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Faucheux Strategies[A] | April 22–26, 2024 | 800 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 48% | 33% | 10% | 2% | 1% | 6% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Ron DeSantis Republican |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Echelon Insights | August 31 – September 7, 2022 | 506 (LV) | ± 6.5% | 46% | 33% | 21% |