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I've had to make ammendments to this - it seems to have been a bit hijacked by someone who has bought too much into simple 'constant variables' models of demographics. Predictions of White Minority are unlikely to come true this century, and our population being "replaced" is even more silly. The ethnic minority population will continue to rise as a proportion - by perhaps 2 - 3% per decade for the coming decades, although this is unlikely to continue beyond mid century due to declining birth rates amongst minority groups and a slow down in immigration. So from just over 8% minorities in 2001, maybe about 10.5% by 2011 and perhaps 20 - 25% by mid century. In any case the concept of "White British" is pretty dubious - many people defined as such have ancestry overseas, for instance Irish, Italian, German, Jewish etc.
Perhaps you didn't read the references. I can recommend this one: Immigration and ethnic change in low fertility countries - towards a new demographic transition. 2005 (PDF)
“I've had to make ammendments to this - it seems to have been a bit hijacked by someone who has bought too much into simple 'constant variables' models of demographics.”
I did not “hijack” the section as you so emotively claim. If you read the above reference you will see that the model that I am using for these predictions (Version 2 for the UK) does not assume constant variables, but rather probablistic (the most likely) variables.
“Predictions of White Minority are unlikely to come true this century, and our population being "replaced" is even more silly.”
Allow me to quote the abstract verbatim: “Any population with sub-replacement fertility whose numbers are being maintained, or increased, by net immigration, is bound eventually to be replaced by a population of immigrant origin” This is a matter of common sense surely?
“The ethnic minority population will continue to rise as a proportion - by perhaps 2 - 3% per decade for the coming decades, although this is unlikely to continue beyond mid century due to declining birth rates amongst minority groups and a slow down in immigration. So from just over 8% minorities in 2001, maybe about 10.5% by 2011 and perhaps 20 - 25% by mid century.” Do you have any sources for these assertions? If so I would be grateful if you could direct me to them. One model used by Coleman and Scherbov suggests that ethnic minorities will make up 35% of the population by mid-century, a percentage in line with predictions for most other Western European countries.
From your additions to the article:
"Firstly, since these predictions were made, (they were made in 2005) the white British birthrate has risen leading to higher natural population growth.” The model used takes into account the increase in the white birthrate (with the TFR increasing from 1.66 to 1.85) “Secondly, ethnic minority population growth is likely to slow due to a decline in immigration from the peak years of the early 21st century,” the model takes this into account (relying on GAD predictions) “and through declining fertility amongst established immigrant groups” The model takes this into account.
“Assuming a constant white birth rate” No, it assumes an increase in white birthrate, which is why I wrote it.
There is a reason why the Demographic Transition section is the most referenced of the whole article. It is because I expected it to be controversial. I nonetheless feel it is factual. I feel that your amendments to it have decreased its accuracy.
I accept that the predictions may not come to fruition (if immigration is heavily constrained or ceases). They are nonetheless the most likely course of events. As you have provided no demographic data/references to back up your amendments, I have reverted them. Romper 22:47, 3 January 2007 (UTC)
Whilst I still maintain that the section represents the most likely outcome, I accept that there could be a need to temper it by pointing out that very radical changes to the variables would provide different outcomes. Perhaps something like this may suffice:
Two majors driving factors in this demographic transition are higher birthrates and different population age structures amongst minority groups when compared to the indigenous population. The most important factor however is immigration. The prediction envisaging a median date for whites being a minority of 2085 assumed a net immigration rate of 157,000 for 2005 (It actually turned out to be 185,000). It assumes that net migration will fall to 147,000 per annum by 2050 and remain constant at that rate until in end of the Century. This is similar to predictions by the UK Government’s Actuary Department.
Obviously these outcomes are not set in stone. Should immigration (the only variable even nominally affected by government policy) be heavily constrained or even cease, then the third demographic transition would slow down or perhaps even eventually cease. This outcome, however, is considered ‘a very unlikely one’.
Romper 00:19, 4 January 2007 (UTC)
I am sorry, but the section 'demographic transition' is in direct violation of Wikipedia's neutrality principle. Therefore, it had to be removed. HSDR —Preceding unsigned comment added by 82.5.202.171 (talk) 15:29, 21 February 2008 (UTC)
On 30.1.2007 the sentence:
The process seems likely to continue, leading to the eventual replacement of the indigenous population with the newer groups.
Was amended to read:
The process seems likely to continue for the immediate future which leads many right wing alarmists such as the BNP to claim that the newer groups are going to utterly replace the natives.
This amendment is inappropriate for the following reason:
1) It is inappropriate to describe the BNP as right wing alarmist see Wikipedia: Words to avoid
2) This section of the article is not the appropriate place to discuss the BNP, their ideology or their tactics as it is a demographic analysis of the past and likely future trends in ethnicity in the United Kingdom.
3) It is clearly false to attribute the claim of ethnic replacement solely (if at all) to the BNP. Indeed is an unavoidable occurrence should current trends (of sub-replacement fertility and net foreign immigration) continue:
Any population with sub-replacement fertility attempting to maintain a given population size through immigration would accordingly, acquire a population of predominantly, eventually entirely immigrant origin. - Feichtinger/Steinmann 1993
Any population with sub-replacement fertility, whose numbers are being maintained, or increased by net immigration is bound eventually to be replaced by a population of immigrant origin. - Coleman and Scherbov 2005
4) The amendment, by adding the words for the immediate future, indicates the current situation (of sub-replacement fertility and net foreign immigration) is merely an aberration. This may indeed be the case but it seems unlikely. Sub replacement fertility looks set to continue:
Official projections are unanimous in expecting that average family size in the future will not exceed 1.85 or 1.9 (UN 2004; Eurostat 2005). Most demographers (although not this author) therefore believe that sub-replacement fertility is here to stay (e.g., Lesthaeghe and Willems 1999). - Coleman 2006 (in regard to EU countries)
Migration levels are harder to predict. Nonetheless net foreign immigration looks set to continue (Coleman 2006, Coleman and Scherbov 2005) and the indeed the UK Government’s Actuary Department assumes a net level of immigration of 145,000 per annum in perpetuity:
(The) long-term assumption for net migration to the United Kingdom is +145,000 each year - GAD 2005.
Thus I feel that:
The process seems likely to continue, leading to the eventual replacement of the indigenous population with the newer groups.
Is a better statement than:
The process seems likely to continue for the immediate future which leads many right wing alarmists such as the BNP to claim that the newer groups are going to utterly replace the natives.
As it better describes likely future events. I have thus changed it back again.
In future, I feel it would be desirable for any amendment to the Demographic Transition Section to be backed up by citations of relevant demographic data. This is because the current text is well referenced and unverified amendments tend to detract from its authority.
Romper 21:50, 31 January 2007 (UTC)
I disagree that this section should be in the article. I accept the demographics data that you are linking to, but bear in mind that this is theoretical research work, much of it undertaken at a time when there was large numbers of mainly ethnic asylum seekers entering and being allowed to stay in the UK (more are now removed a year than make applications to stay). Wikipedia is an encyclopedia, crystal ball gazing theoretical guesswork decades into the future is not factual content.
You are also using the data to portray immigration as non-white and the indigenous population as white and slowly being bred out, this is not accurate. This ignores the fact that large amounts of non-Eu immigration is from places such as the Americas, Australia and South Africa http://www.official-documents.gov.uk/document/cm69/6904/6904.pdf (the majority of which is white South Africans leaving the country) and as I am sure you are aware the very largest recent influxes of immigration to the UK is from Poland. In addition you are ignoring racial mixing. Were you even aware for example that Ryan Giggs and Jade Goody are both of mixed race? (Lager7 15:44, 27 April 2007 (UTC))
Romper 00:13, 30 April 2007 (UTC)
During the 2001 Census, the census forms for Northern Ireland had different ethnicity tick boxes to the other parts of the United Kingdom. They only had one tick box category to relate to all whites (obviously being the “White” category). This presents difficulties in breaking down the White group on a UK wide basis. Official ONS publications therefore do not do so, thus presenting an inaccurate picture of the ethnic make up of the UK. I had initially assigned all of the Whites of Northern Ireland to the “White British” category so that the UK wide data looked like this:
White British: 52,039,195 - 88.5% White Other: 1,423,471 - 2.42% White Irish: - 691,232 - 1.2%
In retrospect this may have been a mistake as technically Northern Ireland is not a part of the island of Britain and therefore it could be argued that none of it’s population could be considered “White British”. Moreover it could be politically contentious to categorise all of Northern Ireland’s Whites as British. It could be equally politically contentious, however, to categorise them all as “White Irish”. Thus I have gone with the only other option and assigned them the status of “Other White”. The UK wide data now looks like this:
White British: 50,368,207- 85.67% White Other: 3,094,459- 5.26% White Irish: - 691,232 - 1.2%
Romper 01:30, 3 January 2007 (UTC)
User 81.78.144.112 correctly points out that in the 2001 Census 37,000 people ticked the “Other White” category and wrote in Cornish. The ONS, however, would merely have re-categorised these people as “White British” in the published Census figures. Thus in order for the figures given in this Wikipedia article to be correct, either the “White British” group needs to have its number reduced by 37,000, or the figure given for the Cornish group needs to be removed. As Cornish was not an official Census category for ethnicity in 2001, I propose the latter course of action.
Romper 00:01, 3 January 2007 (UTC)
I have now enacted the latter course of action. Romper 22:49, 3 January 2007 (UTC)
I notice that the figure of 37,000 Cornish is not given in the entire article, indeed the Cornish don't seem to be mentioned at all. Easy enough to sort out though. Bodrugan (talk) 02:03, 5 August 2009 (UTC)
The first sentence describes Britain as a multi-ethnic society with lots of ethnic groups, then goes on to describe ethnic minorities.
If it's an article about ethnic groups, why isn't the largest ethnic group - the english - mentioned either first or at all in the same way as the various minorities?
If it's an article about ethnic minorities, then why is it describing Britain as a multi-ethnic society made of groups? This implies that Britain is a multi-ethnic state along the lines of Malaysia, which is a misrepresentation of the facts. Britain is in fact a state with majority ethnic groupings in each constituent nation, and a range of mostly recently arrived minority groups.
This article is in danger of sounding like it's promoting a self-fulfilling prophecy of those who believe immigration is a good thing - by (mis)describing the country as a multi-ethnic state like Belgium, Bosnia, or Malaysia, it becomes it, because policies are made to serve needs that have been politically an socially engineered on the basis of false premisses informed by this kind of insidious misinformation.
87.113.75.231 18:41, 26 April 2007 (UTC)Promsan
Fair point, although the indigenous population is mentioned first, listing the various constituent groups (including the English) with the ability to click on their links to find out more about them. Admittedly the article spends most of it’s time discussing minority groups. I think this is for two reasons 1). The English, Irish, Scots, Welsh, Cornish and Ulster Scots each have their own separate articles which are reachable via the first section and 2). The emphasis on ethnic minorities reflects the current discourse on ethnicity in the United Kingdom. Perhaps you could suggest a different structure for the article that would better reflect ethnicity in the UK. If you would like more emphasis on the indigenous population (which I suspect you would) then it might be better to transfer some information from their various pages. Romper 00:12, 27 April 2007 (UTC)
Well the very begining is a bit sus The United Kingdom is a multi-ethnic society, having a number of ethnic groups. The United Kingdom is a state, it is a political entity that has little relation to the ethnic groups that compose it. There is no such thing as a UK ethnic group. One might argue that there is such a thing as a British ethnic group, but this is not a political entity, and many non UK citizens may well claim membership. Alun 15:50, 20 May 2007 (UTC)
The article starts by stating that For most of the last millennium the lands now constituting the United Kingdom were largely ethnically homogeneous. This is clearly nonsense as anyone who has ever travelled in the UK would know. The UK has several distinct ethnic groups who certainly do not think of themselves as a "homogeneous UK ethnic group". Alun 15:50, 20 May 2007 (UTC)
Then The pre-Celtic, Celtic, Roman, Anglo-Saxon, and Norse influences were blended on Great Britain what rubbish, there is much that the peoples of the British and Irish Isles have in common, but it is incorrect to claim that these peoples have some sort of "homogeneous blended" culture. Up untill the start of the 20th century, a mere 100 years ago, the majority of people living in Wales spoke Welsh as a first language, for example. There is no influence on Welsh culture form the Danelaw, English people have not adopted the habit of wearing kilts. British people have much in common, but it is clearly nonsense to try to claim that we are a homogeneous society. Alun 15:50, 20 May 2007 (UTC)
Why is this: This settled population was complimented by French Huguenots who fled to Britain during the 16th century to escape religious persecution and who later became assimilated with and absorbed by the rest of the population. in the section about indigenous people? Are people who settled in the 17th century "indigenous"? I wouldn't say they were, but if the article is going to say that people who settled in the 17th century are indigenous, then it should also apply to Jewish people as well shouldn't it? Alun 15:50, 20 May 2007 (UTC)
Your article is too racially based, its more complex. Prior to the 12th century, what does that mean, many worldwide can find some ancestor resident in the uk prior to the 12th century, also race mixing absolute nonsense.
The use of the term "indigenous people" will strike many readers of this article as misleading or simply bizarre, since the term is typically reserved for peoples living in traditional ways that are highly tied to their land and climate. Also, as has been discussed above, the British population (I mean, the canonical groups of Scots, Welsh, Irish, and English) are the descedents of multiple waves of immigration, that were not indigenous at the time they arrived! I am stumped on a better term that is not a clunker like "Groups descended from inhabitants of Britain before the 15th century" or racially-charged/racist like "British of North European stock/heritage." Any ideas welcome. Zavtrakat 14:41, 13 October 2007 (UTC)
I love the way we're using "asimilated" next thing you know we'll be building cubes and calling eachother by a numerical designation lol [[[Special:Contributions/81.158.50.162|81.158.50.162]] (talk)] —Preceding undated comment added 22:14, 6 July 2009 (UTC).
For the following reasons -
The most important and significant cause of this was the passage of the British Nationalities Act 1948. By this act citizens of the Empire were allowed to migrate to the United Kingdom. Many people from parts of the then Empire arrived in Britain.
Complete Untrue. Citizens of the Empire ALWAYS had the right to settle in the UK, there was no barrier. The 1948 Act does no such thing. As a result I'm deleting it. Indisciplined (talk) 20:24, 29 December 2007 (UTC)
Why is there no mention of Thai people living in the UK? —Preceding unsigned comment added by 88.111.89.149 (talk) 14:30, 16 April 2008 (UTC)
Image:Brixton Tube 2006-04-22.jpg and Image:Tesco metro manchester.jpg Sorry, I don't see any direct relevance of the images to the article? TerriersFan (talk) 19:25, 25 April 2008 (UTC)
The majority of the article at present is taken up by the country-of-birth population table. The problem with this is that country of birth and ethnicity aren't necessarily about the same thing. Many (all) countries are home to multiple ethnic groups, both "indigenous" and immigrant. The same goes for Template:Ethnic groups in the United Kingdom. Any suggestions for how we deal with this issue? Cordless Larry (talk) 23:37, 28 December 2008 (UTC)
"In 2001 ... the total Black population was 1.2 million or 2.2% of the population" - I think whoever wrote this is confusing the statistic for England & Wales, where the black population of is indeed put at 2.2% [3], and that of the UK as a whole, in which the population is 2% [4] - or does someone else have different statistics? Dom Kaos (talk) 17:12, 19 January 2009 (UTC)
There has been some comment above regarding the various ethnic groups that form what gets classified as 'white british' on the census forms. This information needs to be moved into the main article, which doesn't mention this at all. But I think we need to develop it here first:
These are the Jutes, Angles and Saxons that invaded the south of England. Blond hair.
These are the vikings that invaded the north east of england. Blond hair also.
This is the earlier population that was invaded by the germanic peoples. Red hair.
This is the french/norman population that invaded in 1066. Black hair.
There still exists some form of racism against the celtic and germanic groups. Red haired (celtic) people are often the subject of insult. And many jokes exist about people who are blond (anglo-saxon and viking). No such insults or jokes are normally directed to those with black hair, representing the ruling class of normans. Also, this norman class to this day own more land than any of the earlier ethnic groups to live in the UK.—Preceding unsigned comment added by 81.111.8.183 (talk • contribs) 00:58, 29 January 2010 (UTC)
The article states that "The 2001 UK Census classified ethnicity into several groups: White, Black, Asian, Mixed, Chinese and Other." Then in the next section says this "According to the 2001 Census, the ethnic composition of the United Kingdom was:White British, White (other), White Irish, Mixed race, Indian, Pakistani, Bangladeshi, Other Asian (non-Chinese), Black Caribbean, Black African, Black (others), Chinese, Other"
I know that English, Scottish, Welsh, and Cornish were also official ethnic categories decided for the 2001 census. Why are they not mentioned anywhere in the article? 109.152.82.175 (talk) 13:42, 31 March 2012 (UTC)
Has all the wrong percentages in it, going by the numbers. Plus the citation is dead, and I have no idea if calculating percentages from a table counts as original research or not, but they're not even a little bit wrong. 86.182.220.151 (talk) 16:27, 7 April 2012 (UTC)
I have just deleted a newly created table on ethnic group populations. This table comprised what appears to be a synthesis of data from a variety of sources and as such it is inappropriate and miisleading to create a comparative analysis based presumably on a mixture of historic census estimates and forward looking mid-year projections derived via different sampling methods. There are no citations provided and it also contained data apparently from the 2011 census which as it is yet to be published must be erroneous.Tmol42 (talk) 10:51, 28 May 2013 (UTC)
The table from the 2011 census uses data only for England and Wales, not for Scotland. For Scotland it hasn't been released yet.--Kohelet (talk) 08:04, 14 June 2013 (UTC)
According both to the ONS spreadsheet cited and other ONS sources, the number previously cited here was inflated almost 10 times to above half a million! ONS state numerous times on their website that the number is more like 58,000. (Actual number now on the article). — Preceding unsigned comment added by Kingkula (talk • contribs) 00:14, 24 February 2014 (UTC)
There has been a trend in page naming to move to pluralised titlings:
Pluralised titles currently include:
British Cypriots, British Indo-Caribbean people, British Iraqis, British Moroccans, British Pakistanis and British Turks
Non pluralised titles currently include:
British Asian, British Bangladeshi, British Jamaican, British Nigerian, British Tamil, British Indian
Another route (that seemed to me to be suggested in the lead text of the British Tamil article) would be to use the format presented in Category:British people by ethnic or national origin so as to present: "British people of <x origin> descent
" which I think is less ambiguous. An illustration of issues of a potential ambiguity of titling is arguably demonstrated in the navigation page: British Korean which presents a list of disambiguated topics with content as:
British Korean or Korean British may refer to:
A similar format to the Koreans in the United Kingdom is adopted in Austrians in the United Kingdom, Brazilians in the United Kingdom, Canadians in the United Kingdom, Poles in the United Kingdom, Somalis in the United Kingdom, Sudanese in the United Kingdom
In all these cases except for the last the plural is used.
In other nationalities a differently sequenced title format is followed as seen in the article titles Korean Americans, Korean Australians and Korean Canadians.
As far as ethnic origins are concerned, within the context of Britain, a "British Asian" person is regarded as a "British person" with a British Asian ethnic background. Out of context "British Asian" is ambiguous presenting nothing more than two adjectives in sequence. However a title such as British Iraqis presents an adjective before a noun which, I think, would most naturally indicate that the people are Iraqis that, in some way, have British characteristics or a British ancestry. In relation to guidance at WP:AT that "The title indicates what the article is about and distinguishes it from other articles
" the current situation immediately fails to unambiguously achieve the first part and, at the very least, it is also at risk of failing the second. Even if we are only to consider Category:Asian people of British descent we find plenty of content that could easily generate an article.
There has to be a coherent and descriptive way forward and I think that in many if not all cases that the "British people of <x origin> descent
" format (or something similar) would work. GregKaye 09:31, 16 June 2015 (UTC)
Your page appears to focus on the subject of ethnicity in the UK almost exclusively focussing around the criterion of genetic determination. This is unscientific and highly selective to say the least. Completely inadequate. Ethnicity is understood by academic researchers according to a complex of different criteria. Your page requires substantial revision, accordingly. Also you are deleting my insistence on making the necessary "genetic" qualifications to sentences. Greengauge121 (talk) 18:58, 26 October 2015 (UTC)
A yw cysyniad grŵp ethnig gwyn Prydain o ganlyniad i siaradwyr Saesneg nad ydynt yn gweld y tu hwnt i'w byd? — Preceding unsigned comment added by 147.1.235.114 (talk) 18:32, 5 January 2018 (UTC)
Could anyone explain what happened to the data on the ONS website? For instance, where can I actually view the interactive ethnicity map? [5] And is there any data available for territories smaller than local authorities, like wards? --John A. Collins (talk) 01:00, 13 May 2016 (UTC)
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I have reverted the addition of material on self-reported Cornish identity from the section on attitudes to multiculturalism several times. That section is about surveys of attitudes to multiculturalism and surveys of visible minorities' sense of national identities. The article should cover Cornish identity, but that section is not the right place for it. Cordless Larry (talk) 15:56, 9 February 2018 (UTC)
That same paragraph mentions attitudes towards multiculturalism in Wales and Scotland. How is Cornwall any different? If by multiculturalism, you mean more recent waves of migration and non-indigenous ethnicities then why is there mention of the Welsh and Scots considering Welsh/Scottish to be compatible with British? Either remove that paragraph altogether or allow a similar discussion about the Cornish; otherwise, it seems like a bit of a double standard.--KartvelianCelt (talk) 18:01, 10 February 2018 (UTC)
Many of the newer ethnic groups in the UK are heavily concentrated in certain localities: often those previously occupied by earlier migrant groups.
Africans, Asians and Afro-Caribbeans tend to be found mainly in urban rather than rural areas. They are often concentrated in certain wards of towns and cities, either from their own choice or that of housing providers and employers. Consequently harsh policing and intolerant locals may be found in the countryside and genteel county towns more than in the inner cities.
South Asian communities in Britain often originate from only one region. For example, Leicester has a large Indian community who are mainly Hindus from Gujarat. Punjabi Sikhs have their own locations. Malayalis are most numerous in Newham and Croydon (both in London). The Pakistanis are mostly from Mirpur in Azad Kashmir. The Bengali Muslims are mainly from Sylhet in Bangladesh. However the South Asian graduate professionals seem have to come from all over those countries, unlike the working class.
Due to the Empire and Commonwealth, the Chinese in Britain came mainly from Hong Kong and the Greeks and Turks used to come mainly from Cyprus.
Some communities are more dispersed: e.g. the Tamils, who are alleged to mostly come from one town in Sri Lanka.
Certain nation-wide industries have high proportions of particular ethnicities: e.g. restaurants and takeaways for Chinese food (Hong Kong Chinese) and Indian food (Bangladeshis).
Less visible minorities may also be localised. The French are most numerous in London. Italians used to be numerous in Luton.
Other European nationalities are also heavily represented: Polish is said to be the language with the second largest number of speakers in the UK.
I don't have up-to-date figures for any of this, but they are often in the newspapers and it should be possible to find the statistics on-line. NRPanikker (talk) 00:26, 14 August 2019 (UTC)
Please correct.Xx236 (talk) 11:36, 22 August 2019 (UTC)
Shouldn't this section of the article cover figures such as Sir Dadabhai Naoroji Dordi who were MPs in the UK long before the 1980s date given here?
I thought we were going to talk about the Anglo-Saxons (English), Scots, Welsh, Irish, and others here, along with the more recent immigration of Indian, African, etc. ethnic groups. Myrnamyers (talk) 08:08, 21 May 2022 (UTC)