Voting recommendations for the 2015 Arbitration Committee Elections

You can vote anytime before Sunday 23:59, 6 December, UTC

Voter eligibility
The following discussion has been closed. Please do not modify it.

An editor is eligible to vote who:

(i) has registered an account before Wednesday 00:00, 28 October 2015
(ii) has made at least 150 mainspace edits before Sunday 00:00, 1 November 2015 and,
(iii) is not blocked from the English Wikipedia at the time of their vote.

The elections for the Arbitration Committee this year are all about bullying, especially bullying of women editors. This voters' guide lists my recommendations of candidates to support and those to oppose based on

Candidates were asked if they think that I've put them in the wrong category - based on the above criteria. None have objected.

Recommendations

Strong support Support Oppose
Callanecc
Casliber
Gamaliel
GorillaWarfare
Hullaballoo Wolfowitz
Keilana
Kelapstick
Kevin Gorman
Opabinia regalis
Hawkeye7*
Kirill Lokshin*
MarkBernstein*
Drmies
Kudpung
LFaraone
Mahensingha*
NE Ent
Rich Farmbrough
Thryduulf
Wildthing61476*

*See notes on candidates below

To vote, click the vote link in the green box at the top of this page. I'll suggest opening this page in another browser window, so that you can check my recommendations as you vote.

Pick your voting strategy

The mechanics of the election suggest that there are only 3 reasonable voting strategies. A neutral vote is effectively discarded - you are throwing your vote away if you vote neutral. Candidates who get more than 50% supports out of the remaining votes are then eligible to be elected, but only the 9 with the highest percentage of supports will actually be elected.

The issue for this election is whether ArbCom will enforce rules against bullying and harassment, especially of women editors. I believe that a large majority of editors support enforcing the rules against bullying. Thus, if most editors vote according to this strategy, candidates who support enforcement of the rules against bullying will all get more than 50% supports and other candidates will all get less than 50% supports. Nine friendly candidates will win the election.
Perhaps in a normal election this would be the strategy to use. You are giving your favorite candidates the best shot by voting this way. The problem is that many, perhaps most, of the votes cast according to this strategy will cancel out. "Extreme candidates", those with the most supporters, or those with the fewest opposers may win, but more moderate candidates - those who meet your basic standards - are at a disadvantage. While this strategy results in many votes canceling out, it is not completely useless. Among those candidates that get 50% supports, voters who use this strategy may determine the final winners.
It's obvious that these voters are not going to elect their favorite candidates. This strategy has been promoted surprisingly often during this election, probably by those who know their favorite candidates are not going to win anyway. There are even proponents of voting to "hasten the day" that ArbCom and Wikipedia collapse. Think long and hard before voting this way. Do you really want Wikipedia to collapse? The existence of this strategy is a very good argument for voting according to Strategy A.

Notes on candidates