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All 4 Iowa seats to the United States House of Representatives | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Democratic hold Democratic gain Republican hold
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Elections in Iowa |
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The 2018 United States House of Representatives elections in Iowa were held on November 6, 2018, to elect the four U.S. representatives from the State of Iowa, one from each of the state's four congressional districts. The elections coincided with the gubernatorial election, as well as other elections to the House of Representatives, elections to the United States Senate, and various state and local elections. The state congressional delegation flipped from a 3–1 Republican majority to a 3–1 Democratic majority. The Democrats had last won the majority of Iowa's seats in the 2010 elections.
Party | Candidates | Votes | Seats | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
No. | % | No. | +/– | % | |||
Democratic | 4 | 664,676 | 50.48% | 3 | 2 | 75.00% | |
Republican | 4 | 612,338 | 46.51% | 1 | 2 | 25.00% | |
Libertarian | 4 | 29,894 | 2.27% | 0 | 0.00% | ||
Independent | 3 | 5,100 | 0.39% | 0 | 0.00% | ||
Legal Marijuana Now | 1 | 2,015 | 0.15% | 0 | 0.00% | ||
Green | 1 | 1,888 | 0.14% | 0 | 0.00% | ||
Write-in | 732 | 0.06% | 0 | 0.00% | |||
Total | 17 | 1,316,643 | 100.00% | 4 | 100.00% |
Results of the 2018 United States House of Representatives elections in Iowa by district:[1]
District | Democratic | Republican | Others | Total | Result | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | ||
District 1 | 170,342 | 50.96% | 153,442 | 45.91% | 10,459 | 3.13% | 334,243 | 100.0% | Democratic gain |
District 2 | 171,446 | 54.79% | 133,287 | 42.60% | 8,180 | 2.61% | 312,913 | 100% | Democratic hold |
District 3 | 175,642 | 49.30% | 167,933 | 47.14% | 12,666 | 3.56% | 356,241 | 100.0% | Democratic gain |
District 4 | 147,246 | 47.04% | 157,676 | 50.37% | 8,123 | 2.59% | 313,045 | 100.0% | Republican hold |
Total | 664,676 | 50.49% | 612,338 | 46.51% | 39,428 | 3.00% | 1,316,442 | 100.0% |
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County results Finkenauer: 50–60% Blum: 40-50% 50–60% | |||||||||||||||||
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See also: Iowa's 1st congressional district |
Incumbent Republican Rod Blum, who had represented the district since 2015, ran for re-election. He was re-elected with 54% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of D+1.
The 1st district went for Donald Trump in the 2016 presidential election with a 49% to 45% margin, after voting for Barack Obama with a 56% to 43% margin in 2012.[2]
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Rod Blum (incumbent) | 14,737 | 98.9 | |
Republican | Write-ins | 167 | 1.1 | |
Total votes | 14,904 | 100.0 |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Abby Finkenauer | 29,745 | 66.8 | |
Democratic | Thomas Heckroth | 8,516 | 19.1 | |
Democratic | Courtney Rowe | 3,381 | 7.6 | |
Democratic | George Ramsey | 2,837 | 6.4 | |
Democratic | Write-ins | 50 | 0.1 | |
Total votes | 44,529 | 100 |
Gaff was only 18, meaning he would not have met the U.S. Constitution's required minimum age of 25 to be elected to the House of Representatives.[15]
No. | Date | Host | Moderator | Link | Republican | Democratic |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Key: P Participant A Absent N Not invited I Invited W Withdrawn |
||||||
Rod Blum | Abby Finkenauer | |||||
1 | October 5, 2018 | KWWL-TV | Ron Steele Abby Turpin |
C-SPAN | P | P |
2 | October 16, 2018 | KGAN KXEL |
Jeff Stein Nick Weig |
C-SPAN | P | P |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Rod Blum (R) |
Abby Finkenauer (D) |
Troy Hageman (L) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Emerson College | October 29 – November 1, 2018 | 353 | ± 5.5% | 41% | 53% | 4% | 2% |
NYT Upshot/Siena College | October 28–31, 2018 | 452 | ± 4.9% | 39% | 46% | 4% | 11% |
The Polling Company (R-Blum) | October 12–13, 2018 | 400 | ± 4.9% | 43% | 45% | 4% | 6% |
The Polling Company (R-Blum) | October 3–4, 2018 | 400 | ± 4.9% | 43% | 44% | 3% | 8% |
NYT Upshot/Siena College | September 18–20, 2018 | 502 | ± 4.6% | 37% | 52% | – | 11% |
Emerson College | September 6–8, 2018 | 250 | ± 6.4% | 38% | 43% | – | 12% |
DCCC (D) | February 13–14, 2018 | — | — | 41% | 47% | – | — |
Public Policy Polling (D) | February 12–13, 2018 | 742 | ± 3.6% | 42% | 43% | – | 15% |
Public Policy Polling (D-Heckroth) | November 2–3, 2017 | 737 | – | 42% | 43% | – | 16% |
Public Policy Polling (D) | October 6–8, 2017 | 1,093 | ± 3.0% | 40% | 42% | – | 18% |
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[16] | Lean D (flip) | November 5, 2018 |
Inside Elections[17] | Lean D (flip) | November 5, 2018 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[18] | Lean D (flip) | November 5, 2018 |
RCP[19] | Lean D (flip) | November 5, 2018 |
Daily Kos[20] | Lean D (flip) | November 5, 2018 |
538[21] | Safe D (flip) | November 7, 2018 |
CNN[22] | Lean D (flip) | October 31, 2018 |
Fox News[23] | Lean D (flip) | September 21, 2018 |
Politico[24] | Lean D (flip) | November 2, 2018 |
Finkenauer went on to flip the district, being one of many victories in swing districts for Democrats in a blue wave election.
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Abby Finkenauer | 170,342 | 51.0 | |||
Republican | Rod Blum (incumbent) | 153,442 | 45.9 | |||
Libertarian | Troy Hageman | 10,285 | 3.1 | |||
Write-in | 174 | 0.0 | ||||
Total votes | 334,243 | 100.0 | ||||
Democratic gain from Republican |
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County results Loebsack: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% Peters: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% | |||||||||||||||||
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See also: Iowa's 2nd congressional district |
Democratic representative Dave Loebsack, who has represented the district since 2007, was reelected to a sixth term with 54% of the vote in 2016. Loebsack ran for reelection.[25]
The 2nd district went for Donald Trump in the 2016 presidential election with a 49% to 45% margin, after voting for Barack Obama with a 56% to 43% margin in 2012.[2]
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Dave Loebsack (incumbent) | 42,378 | 99.3 | |
Democratic | Write-ins | 314 | 0.7 | |
Total votes | 42,692 | 100.0 |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Christopher Peters | 18,056 | 85.7 | |
Republican | Ginny Caligiuri (write-in) | 2,839 | 13.5 | |
Republican | Other write-ins | 181 | 0.9 | |
Total votes | 21,076 | 100.0 |
Poll source | Dates administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Dave Loebsack (D) |
Christopher Peters (R) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Emerson College | October 29 – November 1, 2018 | 373 | ± 5.3% | 53% | 40% | 2% | 5% |
Gravis Marketing (R-Peters) | September 8–11, 2018 | 425 | ± 4.8% | 46% | 38% | – | 16% |
43% | 37% | 3%[30] | 17% | ||||
Emerson College | September 6–8, 2018 | 250 | ± 6.4% | 45% | 21% | – | 28% |
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[16] | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
Inside Elections[17] | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[18] | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
RCP[19] | Likely D | November 5, 2018 |
Daily Kos[20] | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
538[21] | Safe D | November 7, 2018 |
Fox News[23] | Likely D | September 28, 2018 |
CNN[22] | Safe D | October 31, 2018 |
Politico[24] | Likely D | November 2, 2018 |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Dave Loebsack (incumbent) | 171,446 | 54.8 | |
Republican | Christopher Peters | 133,287 | 42.6 | |
Libertarian | Mark Strauss | 6,181 | 2.0 | |
Independent | Daniel Clark | 1,837 | 0.6 | |
Write-in | 162 | 0.0 | ||
Total votes | 312,913 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic hold |
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County results Axne: 50–60% Young: 50–60% 60–70% | |||||||||||||||||
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See also: Iowa's 3rd congressional district |
Incumbent Republican David Young, who had represented the district since 2015, ran for re-election. He was re-elected with 53% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of D+1.
The 3rd district went for Donald Trump in the 2016 presidential election with a 49% to 45% margin, after voting for Barack Obama with a 51% to 47% margin in 2012.[2]
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | David Young (incumbent) | 21,712 | 98.9 | |
Republican | Write-ins | 234 | 1.1 | |
Total votes | 21,946 | 100 |
After Greenfield's campaign manager was fired for forging signatures on nominating papers, she attempted to re-collect the 1,790 signatures necessary to make the ballot, but did not get enough signatures.[31]
Poll source | Dates administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Cindy Axne |
Pete D'Alessandro |
Eddie Mauro |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Selzer & Co. | May 13–16, 2018 | 400 | ± 4.9% | 26% | 11% | 27% | 36% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Cindy Axne | 32,910 | 57.8 | |
Democratic | Eddie J. Mauro | 15,006 | 26.4 | |
Democratic | Pete D'Alessandro | 8,874 | 15.6 | |
Democratic | Write-ins | 150 | 0.3 | |
Total votes | 56,940 | 100 |
No. | Date | Host | Moderator | Link | Republican | Democratic |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Key: P Participant A Absent N Not invited I Invited W Withdrawn |
||||||
David Young | Cindy Axne | |||||
1 | October 11, 2018 | Iowa Public Television | David Yepsen | C-SPAN | P | P |
Poll source | Dates administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
David Young (R) |
Cindy Axne (D) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Emerson College | October 29 – November 1, 2018 | 380 | ± 5.3% | 45% | 46% | 3% |
NYT Upshot/Siena College | October 25–27, 2018 | 504 | ± 4.6% | 41% | 43% | 11% |
NYT Upshot/Siena College | September 27–30, 2018 | 502 | ± 4.6% | 43% | 44% | 13% |
Emerson College | September 6–8, 2018 | 260 | ± 6.4% | 47% | 31% | 15% |
DCCC (D) | September 4–5, 2018 | 575 | ± 4.1% | 43% | 46% | 11% |
ALG Research (D-Axne) | July 8–12, 2018 | 500 | ± 4.4% | 41% | 45% | 14% |
Poll source | Dates administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
David Young (R) |
Democratic candidate |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PPP/Patriot Majority USA | October 6–8, 2017 | 693 | ± 3.7% | 44% | 43% | — | — |
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[16] | Tossup | November 5, 2018 |
Inside Elections[17] | Tossup | November 5, 2018 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[18] | Lean D (flip) | November 5, 2018 |
RCP[19] | Tossup | November 5, 2018 |
Daily Kos[20] | Tossup | November 5, 2018 |
538[21] | Lean D (flip) | November 7, 2018 |
CNN[22] | Tossup | October 31, 2018 |
Fox News[23] | Tossup | September 21, 2018 |
Politico[24] | Tossup | November 2, 2018 |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Cindy Axne | 175,642 | 49.3 | |||
Republican | David Young (incumbent) | 167,933 | 47.1 | |||
Libertarian | Bryan Holder | 7,267 | 2.0 | |||
Legal Marijuana Now | Mark Elworth Jr. | 2,015 | 0.6 | |||
Green | Paul Knupp | 1,888 | 0.5 | |||
Independent | Joe Grandanette | 1,301 | 0.4 | |||
Write-in | 195 | 0.1 | ||||
Total votes | 356,241 | 100.0 | ||||
Democratic gain from Republican |
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County results King: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% Scholten: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% | |||||||||||||||||
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See also: Iowa's 4th congressional district |
Incumbent Republican Steve King, who had represented the district since 2013, and previously represented the 5th district from 2003 to 2013, ran for re-election. He was re-elected with 61% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of R+11.
The 4th district went for Donald Trump in the 2016 presidential election with a 61% to 34% margin, after voting for Mitt Romney with a 53% to 45% margin in 2012.[2]
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Steve King (incumbent) | 28,053 | 74.7 | |
Republican | Cyndi Hanson | 9,437 | 25.1 | |
Republican | Write-ins | 44 | 0.1 | |
Total votes | 37,534 | 100 |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | J. D. Scholten | 14,733 | 51.3 | |
Democratic | Leann Jacobsen | 9,176 | 31.9 | |
Democratic | John Paschen | 4,806 | 16.7 | |
Democratic | Write-ins | 29 | 0.1 | |
Total votes | 28,744 | 100.0 |
King declined to debate Scholten during the general election campaign.[63][64]
Poll source | Dates administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Steve King (R) |
J.D. Scholten (D) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
NYT Upshot/Siena College | October 31 – November 4, 2018 | 423 | ± 5.0% | 47% | 42% | 1% | 9% |
Emerson College | October 29 – November 1, 2018 | 356 | ± 5.5% | 51% | 42% | – | 4% |
Change Research (D) | October 27–29, 2018 | 631 | – | 45% | 44% | – | – |
WPA Intelligence (R-King) | October 22–24, 2018 | 401 | ± 4.9% | 52% | 34% | 3% | 11% |
Expedition Strategies (D-Scholten) | September 5–9, 2018 | 380 | ± 5.0% | 43% | 37% | – | – |
Emerson College | September 6–8, 2018 | 240 | ± 6.5% | 41% | 31% | – | 16% |
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[16] | Lean R | November 5, 2018 |
Inside Elections[17] | Likely R | November 5, 2018 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[18] | Lean R | November 5, 2018 |
RCP[19] | Lean R | November 5, 2018 |
Daily Kos[20] | Likely R | November 5, 2018 |
538[21] | Likely R | November 7, 2018 |
Fox News[23] | Lean R | September 21, 2018 |
CNN[22] | Likely R | October 31, 2018 |
Politico[24] | Likely R | November 2, 2018 |
King won by the slimmest margin of victory in his congressional electoral career.[66]
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Steve King (incumbent) | 157,676 | 50.3 | |
Democratic | J. D. Scholten | 147,246 | 47.0 | |
Libertarian | Charles Aldrich | 6,161 | 2.0 | |
Independent | Edward Peterson | 1,962 | 0.6 | |
Write-in | 206 | 0.0 | ||
Total votes | 313,256 | 100.0 | ||
Republican hold |